REUNIÃO GERAL DA INDÚSTRIA Inovação e Competitividade: Que Indústria no Horizonte 2030?

Desafios para a Zootecnia 2030Divanildo Outor Monteiro

divanildo@utad.pt

Demografia

Thomas Robert Malthus (1766 -1834)

Economista britânico, considerado o pai da

demografia pela sua teoria sobre o

aumento populacional, conhecida como

malthusianismo

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Demografia

O “Malthusianismo” foi a primeira teoria

populacional a relacionar o crescimento

da população com a fome, afirmando a

tendência do crescimento populacional

em progressão geométrica, e do

crescimento da oferta de alimentos em

progressão aritmética.

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Demografia

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http://www.oregonlive.com/environment/in

dex.ssf/2009/02/population_growth_the_forg

otte.html

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http://mcleankids.wikifoundry.com/page/World+Population+Trends

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https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/rankorder/2127rank.html

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Evolução numérica da população humana

em grandes regiões 1999 vs. 2045 (106)

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http://logos.nationalinterest.in/2015/09/europes-changing-attitude-in-the-refugee-crisis/http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/in_depth/629/629/7056601.stm

Desafios Europeus! Migrações em massa

http://www2.harpercollege.edu/mhealy/g101ilec/intro/phy/phpeo/phpeofr.htm

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Fome após a II Guerra Mundial

http://www.slate.com/blogs/the_vault/2014/07/31/history_of_famine_in_europe_after_wwi_a_hunger_map_for_american_kids.html

Desafios Globais

Memória

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Desafios Globais

FAO demand doubling global

food production 2050!...

“Segurança Alimentar”

Food Security

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Produção de Alimentos

www.shellethics.com/environment/meat-soy-consumption-china/

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Produção de Alimentos

Matérias primas

proteaginosas - UE

•Soja

•Girassol

•Soja Europeia

•Outras proteaginosas

•Insectos

•Algas

•Bactérias

•Folhas

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http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics- explained/index.php/File: Changes_in_livestock_population,_EU-28,_2005-14.png#filelinks

Comércio Mundial de CarneChanges in livestock population

EU-28, 2005-14

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Produção de Alimentos

Pesca?

Aquacultura!...

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Farming marine fish inland will relieve pressure on the oceans

The Future of Agriculture (The Economist)

https://www.economist.com/technology-quarterly/2016-06-09/factory-fresh

Feeding carnivores like salmon on plants is one way, another, which at first sight seems exotic, is to make fish food out of natural gas. This is the proposed business of Calysta, a Californian firm. Calysta feeds methane to methanotrophs bacterias. Calysta then turns these bodies into protein pellets that are sold as fish food.

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Água

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2,5%

Produção de Alimentos

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/in_depth/629/629/7056601.stm

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Desafios Globais - “Intensificação”

http://www.fao.org/news/story/en/item/116937/icode/

Major gains in efficiency of livestock systems needed

Intensive production holds key to feeding growing cities, but improvements in natural resource

use and environmental performance are crucial

14 December 2011, Rome - By 2050 an expanded world population will be consuming two thirds more

animal protein than it does today, bringing new strains to bear on the planet's natural resources,

according to a new FAO report

"As it stands, there are no technically or economically viable alternatives to intensive

production for providing the bulk of the livestock food supply for growing cities”

Even small amounts of animal source foods can improve the nutritional status of low-income households.

Meat, milk and eggs provide proteins with a wide range of amino acids as well as micro-

nutrients such as iron, zinc, vitamin A, vitamin B12 and calcium, in which many malnourished people are

deficient.

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14 pigs/year

410 kg of feed each pig

34 kg of lean each pig

1962

25 pigs/year

273 kg of feed each pig

45 kg of lean each pig

2014

50% more pigs

33% less feed

33% more lean

Changes in Pig

Performance

in the US

50% less manure per kg of lean

Lewis, C., 2015

Produção de Carne de Porco

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Desafios Globais

“In the long run, each nation must assume the

responsibility of producing its own food supply by

efficient production, barter, or purchase and by

keeping future food-production technology ahead of

population increases and demand”

Scientific Farm Animal Production

An Introduction to Animal Science

Thomas Field & Robert Taylor, 2008

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Consumo Per capita(kg/hab.ano; INE: 1981/2013)

37,5kg

2,3kg

43,9kg

17,5kg

8,6kg

https://www.ine.pt/xportal/xmain?xpid=INE&xpgid=ine_indicadores&indOcorrCod=0000

212&contexto=bd&selTab=tab2

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Auto-aprovisionamento(%; INE: 1981/2013)

86,5%

79,2%

64,7%

47,5%

112,8%

https://www.ine.pt/xportal/xmain?xpid=INE&xpgid=ine_indicadores&indOcorrCod=00

00212&contexto=bd&selTab=tab2

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Desafios GlobaisDiminuir o desperdício

http://www.mrgscience.com/ess-topic-52-terrestrial-food-production-systems-and-food-choices.html

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Desafios GlobaisModerar o consumoConsumir melhor

"Average consumption of livestock protein in Africa is less

than a quarter of that in the Americas, Europe and Oceania,

and represents just 17 percent of the recommended

consumption level for all proteins," says FAO's report. "By

contrast, the consumption of livestock protein in the

Americas, Europe and Oceania in 2005 was between 78 and

98 percent of the total protein requirement, suggesting that

livestock products are being over-consumed."

http://www.fao.org/news/story/en/item/116937/icode/

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Metodologias de Avaliação do Bem-estar em Suínos

Alteramos, racionalmente, o que for necessário!...

Desafios Globais

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https://modernfarmer.com/2014/06/abstinence-method/

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/in_depth/629/629/7056601.stm

Desafios GlobaisEfeitos negativos nos ecossistemas

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Metodologias de Avaliação do Bem-estar em Suínos

Estamos (devemos estar)

preparados para comer

outras coisas?

Desafios Globais

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In 2013 Mark Post of Maastricht University, in the Netherlands, unveiled the first hamburger made from muscle cells grown in laboratory cultures.

Including all the set-up costs, it was said to have cost 250,000 ($350,000), or $2.5m a kilogram.

Do this successfully, Dr Post reckons, and the cost would fall to $65 a kilogram. (Mosa Meats)

Meanwhile researchers at Clara Foods, in San Francisco, are developing synthetic egg white, using transgenic yeast to secrete the required proteins.

In February this year a Californian firm called Memphis Meats followed suit with the first meatball.(Investidores: Bill Gates, Richard Branson, Cargill Inc e a Tyson Foods )

Empresas em Silicon Valley querem pôr-nos a comer carne sem matar animaisTechnology can improve not only productivity but animal welfare too

https://www.economist.com/technology-quarterly/2016-06-09/factory-fresh

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Desafios Globais“Herbívoros”

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“FOOD COMES FROM FARMS”

https://youtu.be/O0zq8YHnSDY

Desafios Globais - Comunicação

Origem dos alimentos

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Desafios Globais

"Producing less meat and milk will only

mean more hunger in poor countries"

That's the conclusion of a report presented at the 239th National Meeting of the American Chemical Society in San Francisco.

Frank Mitloehner, University of California-Davis

24 Mar 2010

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Zootecnia de Precisão

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Zootecnia de Precisão

A NEW ERA OF LIVESTOCK FARMING

EU-PLF has provided a way forfarmers to maximise efficiency in a waythat encourages sustainable solutions,whilst maintaining the health and welfare of the animals

http://www.eu-plf.eu/wp-content/uploads/EU-PLF_Brochure_01.pdf

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Precision Pig Farming (PPF) ‘iFarming’Examples of Precision Livestock Farming Systems for Pigs

Monitorização da Tosse

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Zootecnia de Precisão (Frangos)

Figure 2. Distribution pattern of a broiler flock. Expected distribution indices are colored green. Unexpected distribution indices are colored yellow (small deviation) and red (large deviation).

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Zootecnia de Precisão (Frangos)

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Zootecnia de Precisão (Porcas)

2

2,2

2,4

2,6

2,8

3

3,2

3,4

3,6

35 45 55 65 75 85 95 105 115

Qu

anti

dad

e d

e a

lime

nto

(kg

)

Dias de gestação

Primíparas Multíparas 1 Multíparas 2

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The Future Of Food Is Farming, And The Future Of Farming Is Femalehttps://www.forbes.com/sites/ronaldholden/2018/02/12/the-future-of-food-is-farming-and-the-future-of-farming-is-female/#1c30898d3845

Global climate policy impacts on livestock, land use, livelihoods, and food securityAlla A. Goluba, Benjamin B. Hendersonb,1, Thomas W. Hertela, Pierre J. Gerberb, Steven K. Rosec, and Brent Sohngend

aCenter for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN 47907-2056; bLivestock Information, Sector Analysis and Policy Branch, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, 00153 Rome, Italy; cEnergy and Environmental Analysis Research Group, Electric Power Research Institute, Washington, DC 20036; and dOhio State University, OH 43210

Digital Revolution Demands Changes To Educationhttps://www.forbes.com/sites/gradsoflife/2018/03/06/digital-revolution-demands-changes-to-education/#13cc2d3d589c

By Jackie Linden on April 22, 2018 - WattAgNet.com

Animal feed to shrink Europe’s food waste mountain European Commission guidelines

on the use of food waste in livestock feeds draw praiseLeading food and livestock feed industry organizations in the European Union have welcomed the publication of the latest guidelines from the European Commission on the use of food waste in livestock feeds.

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Image courtesy of Shutterstock

http://www.adweek.com/digital/study-millennial-branding-american-express-generation-y/

Geração Y (Nascidos 1980-2000)

http://webershandwickseattle.com/2014/08/millennial-media-the-social-trends-of-generation-y/

https://www.trendsactive.com/#!/tag/the-me-me-me-generation/

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O colapso da civilização nas próximas

décadas é uma certeza inevitável

A shattering collapse of civilisation is a “near certainty” in the next few decades due to humanity’s continuing destruction of the natural world that sustains all life on Earth, according to biologist Prof Paul Ehrlich.In May, it will be 50 years since the eminent biologist published his most famous and controversial book, The Population Bomb.

https://www.theguardian.com/cities/2018/mar/22/collapse-civilisation-near-certain-decades-population-bomb-paul-ehrlich

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População

Humana

O Problema!

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O Problema!

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Obrigado pela vossa atenção…

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