Planejamento

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Planejamento. Trabalho e Aposentadoria. INFÂNCIA E EDUCAÇÃO: 19,7%. TRABALHO 49,3%. TEMPO MÉDIO DE APOSENTADORIA 31%. 16,5%. Fonte : OCDE/2000 e IBGE. *Em percentuais (%). Gastos com a Previdência. Gastos com previdência. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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  • INFNCIA E EDUCAO:19,7%TRABALHO49,3%TEMPO MDIO DE APOSENTADORIA

    31%*Em percentuais (%)16,5%Fonte : OCDE/2000 e IBGETrabalho e Aposentadoria

    Grf2

    25.672.71.8

    2362.914.1

    2462.213.8

    27.460.911.7

    23.960.116.1

    22.758.718.6

    23.858.118.1

    26.958.114.9

    23.357.619.2

    30.757.511.8

    22.757.511.8

    26.257.316.5

    25.256.618.2

    26.355.917.8

    26.854.618.6

    Infncia e Educao

    Trabalho

    Aposentadoria

    Plan1

    PasInfncia e EducaoTrabalhoAposentadoria

    Mexico25.672.71.8

    Nova Zelndia2362.914.1

    Estados Unidos2462.213.8

    Portugal27.460.911.7

    Noruega23.960.116.1

    Reino Unido22.758.718.6

    Canad23.858.118.1

    Turquia26.958.114.9

    Holanda23.357.619.2

    Korea30.757.511.8

    Australia22.757.511.8

    Japo26.257.316.5

    Sucia25.256.618.2

    Alemanha26.355.917.8

    Espanha26.854.618.6

    Plan1

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    Infncia e Educao

    Trabalho

    Aposentadoria

    Plan2

    Plan3

  • Gastos Totais com Previdncia e com Previdncia dos Servidores Pblicos em Pases da OCDE (1998) e no Brasil (2002) em % do PIBFonte: OECD Social Expenditure Database 1980 - 1998 e MPASGastos com previdnciaGastos com a Previdncia

  • Fonte: Diviso de Programao Financeira do INSS e IBGE (Dez/2007)7,13%5,32%1,81%46,0Receita e Despesa em relao ao PIBDficit do INSS em Bilhes de Reais

  • Cerca de 66,2% dos benefcios pagos pela Previdncia Social em Abril/08 possuam o valor de at um salrio mnimo, o que representa um contingente de 17,4 milhes de beneficirios diretos. 601,7 mil pessoas: < 1SM16,8 milhes de pessoas: 1SM0,0%0,0%0,2%1,8%3,4%5,5%7,2%13,2%66,2%2,4%Fonte: MPSBenefcios Emitidos (Abr/2008)

  • A) Seguro-desemprego, LOAS, RMV, Aposentadoria Rural, benefcios urbanos de 1SM e Bolsa Famlia.B) Inclusive sentenas judiciaisFonte: Raul Velloso16,853,1Despesas no-financeiras do Governo

    Em %19872005PAGAMENTO DIRETO A PESSOAS38,875,2 Benefcios assistenciais e subsidiados (a)3,121,1 Inativos e Pensionistas6,112,3 Benefcios do INSS acima de 1SM (b)13,027,6 Ativos16,614,2SADE (Somente Despesas Correntes)8,08,1OUTRAS DESPESAS CORRENTES38,914,1 Obrigatrias0,05,9 Discricionrias38,98,1INVESTIMENTOS14,22,7SUB-TOTAL 53,116,8TOTAL100100

  • RGPS / INSS

  • Regime FuncionalRegime GeralTrabalhador do Setor PrivadoServidores PblicosINSSINSTITUTOS AUTARQUIAS FUNDAES FUNDOS DE PENSO (Servio Social Autnomo)Previdncia ComplementarFechadaAbertaFundos de PensoSociedades AnnimasPrevidncia Funcional ComplementarFechadaFundos de PensoObrigatriosVoluntrioVoluntrioSem fins lucrativosDireito PrivadoCom fins lucrativosUnioEstadosMunicpiosMPASSistema Previdencirio Brasileiro

  • *Professor(a) tem reduo de mais 5 anos.CARNCIAS:

    IDADE 65 anos (homem) e 60 anos (mulher).

    TEMPO DE CONTRIBUIO 15 anosCARNCIAS:

    IDADE No h.

    TEMPO DE CONTRIBUIO 35 anos (homem) e 30 anos (mulher).100% do Valor da AposentadoriaPrincipais benefcios do INSS

  • $$$CONTAINSS$$$ Mtodo do RGPS/INSS No Constitui Reserva Contribuio para o Pagamento dos Benefcios no Perodo Custo Crescente

    Repartio Simples

  • Estudo de Caso Repartio Simples

  • Fonte: IBGECRESCIMENTO POPULACIONALTAXA DE FECUNDIDADEDemografia

  • Pirmide Populacional do IBGE

  • fotografiatelefonerdioradartelevisotransistorCircuito integradoAT 286do 486 ao Pentium A acelerao do conhecimentoMercado de Trabalho

  • 57,5 milh.Tecnologia e Mercado de Trabalho

  • REDUO DEBENEFCIOSAUMENTO DECONTRIBUIESCUSTEIOBENEFCIOIDADE MNIMA34%Uma das maiores do Mundo.Equilibrio do Sistema

  • Necessrio mais 8 anos para alcanar o teto.Valor do Benefcio = 60,81% da mdia dos 80% maiores salrios de contribuio, desde Jul/94.REDUO DE 39,19%SIMULAO (ABR/08)Impacto do Fator Previdencirio

  • 5SMTETOSMDiminuio do Teto do INSS

    1/5 TETOSM607,80415,00607,80424,67607,80434,56607,80444,69607,80455,05607,80465,65607,80476,50607,80487,61607,80498,97607,80510,59607,80522,49607,80534,66607,80547,12607,80559,87607,80572,91607,80586,26607,80599,92607,80613,90

    10 ANOS181,00%245,83%AO ANO10,88%13,21%DIF. ANUAL2,33%

    Grf1

    607.8415

    607.8424.6695

    607.8434.56429935

    607.8444.6896475249

    607.8455.0509163122

    607.8465.6536026623

    607.8476.5033316043

    607.8487.6058592307

    607.8498.9670757507

    607.8510.5930086157

    607.8522.4898257165

    607.8534.6638386557

    607.8547.1215060964

    607.8559.8694371884

    607.8572.9143950749

    607.8586.2633004801

    607.8599.9232353813

    607.8613.9014467657

    TEMPO

    SALRIO MNIMO

    Plan1

    TETOSM1/5 TETOSM

    Jun-981,081.50120.00607.80415.00

    Jun-991,255.32136.00607.80424.67

    Jun-001,328.25151.00607.80434.56

    Jun-011,430.00180.00607.80444.69

    Jun-021,561.56200.00607.80455.05

    Jun-031,869.34240.00607.80465.65

    May-042,508.72260.00607.80476.50

    May-052,668.15300.00607.80487.61

    Apr-062,801.56300.00607.80498.97

    Apr-072,894.28380.00607.80510.59

    Apr-083,038.99415.00607.80522.49

    10 ANOS181.00%245.83%607.80534.66

    AO ANO10.88%13.21%607.80547.12

    DIF. ANUAL2.33%607.80559.87

    1/5 TETO607.80607.80572.91

    607.80586.26

    607.80599.92

    607.80613.90

    Plan1

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    00

    TEMPO

    SALRIO MNIMO

    Plan2

    Plan3

  • DESCONHECIMENTO SOBRE PREVIDNCIAPLANOS GENEROSOSENVELHECIMENTO DA POPULAOMERCADO TRABALHO O que Previdncia? Existncia de vrios Regimes Falta de Transparncia Falta de Governana Regimes no contributivos Transferncias Urbano x Rural Falta de Idade Mnima. Aumento Real Salrio Mnimo Teto Elevado 57,5 milhes de pessoas na informalidade/desempregadas. So 67% da PEA. Base Arrecadao-Folha Salrios Perfil parecido com o da Europa em menos de 3 dcadas.Principais ProblemasPrevidncia Social

  • Assistncia separada da Previdncia RuralUrbanoFator PrevidencirioNova Base ArrecadaoIdade MnimaAposentadorias desatreladas do SMASSISTNCIA PREVIDNCIA Teto Menor= 3 SM RGPS Correes

  • MERCADOESTADOProposta de Reforma

    SALRIOS MNIMOSREGIMES DE FINANCIAMENTOADESOGESTORCONTRIBUIESAcima de 9CapitalizaoFacultativaBancos/ Fundos de PensoPrprias3 - 9CapitalizaoCompuls.Setor Para-Estatal / Fundos Multi-PatrocinadosEncargos sobre a folha, recalculados1 - 3RepartioCompuls.MPS/INSSEncargos sobre a folha, recalculados

    1Assistncia SocialCompuls.Presidncia/ Secretaria-GeralImpostos/Tesouro

  • Previdncia Privada

  • 123ESTATALEMPRESARIALINDIVIDUALPrevidncia Bsica Contempla todos os cidados e independe de contribuio. Benefcios de 1 a 5 SM1Previdncia Social EmpresarialFundos de Pensosem fins lucrativos contributivos2Previdncia IndividualVoluntriaPlanos de Bancos e Seguradorascom fins lucrativos contributivos3Modelo dos trs pilares

  • N de Salrios Mnimos504030201510%13%17%26%34%52%80%VARIAO DE:Salrio = R$ 10.000,00Se aposenta pelo INSS ganhando R$1.958,45EXEMPLO:10774%Quanto maior o seu salrio, maior ser a diferena entre o que voc ganhava e o que o INSS vai lhe pagar.Fonte: Renato Follador Consultoria em Previdncia (JAN/08)Simulao: Homem, 55 anos de idade, 35 anos de contribuio. Fator previdencirio de 0,7285.Previdncia Privada7,3 SMBenefcios pagos pelo INSS

    Grf1

    10.7362593985

    10.5153815789

    10.3435877193

    10.2576907895

    10.1717938596

    10.1288453947

    10.1030763158

    Salrio antes da aposentadoria

    Benefcio em % do ltimo Salrio

    N de Salrios Mnimos

    Plan1

    7266074%100%

    10380052%100%

    15570034%100%

    20760026%100%

    301140017%100%

    401520013%100%

    501900010%100%

    1958.45

    Plan2

    Plan3

  • Fonte: IBGEExpectativa de sobrevida

    Expectativa de Sobrevida no Brasil (1930/40, 1970/80, 2002, 2006)1930/401970/8020022006IDADEHomemMulherHomemMulherHomemMulherHomemMulher501820222426,13026,530,6551617192122,425,922,826,460131416171921,919,322,4651111131415,818,316,118,770891111131513,215,3

  • SEM CAR: Receber 20% do Benefcio.

    COM CAR: Receber 100 % do Benefcio.100%5SMCapital Adicional de Risco CAR

  • ..pagar os compromisso assumidos com participantes (benefcios)

    Patrimnio acumulado ao longo do tempo deve ser suficiente para..Capitalizao

  • Fonte: Consolidado Estatstico ABRAPP.Fonte: Fenaprevi.Previdncia Complementar

  • Fonte : GAZETA MERCANTIL Fev/2007.Em bilhes de R$24,3% do PIBPatrimnio da Previdncia Privada

  • Fonte: ABRAPP (jan/07)R$ 3.661,00R$ 1.216,00R$ 1.984,00R$ 1.242,00Valor mdio do benefcioDemonstrativo de Benefcios

  • Nova tributao MP 209/04

    Plan1

    PROGRESSIVA

    Em caso de resgate, o participante recolher 15% de IR

    Valor do BeneficioAlquotaParcela a Deduzir

    At R$ 1.313,69ISENTO---

    De R$ 1.313,70 at R$ 2.625,1215%$197.05

    Acima de R$ 2.625,1227.50%$525.19

    REGRESSIVA

    Tempo de AcumulaoAlquota

    0 - 2 anos35%

    2 - 4 anos30%

    4 - 6 anos25%

    6 - 8 anos20%

    8 - 10 anos15%

    Acima de 10 anos10%

    Plan2

    Plan3

    Plan1

    PROGRESSIVA

    Em caso de resgate, o participante recolher 15% de IR

    Valor do BeneficioAlquotaParcela a Deduzir

    At R$ 1.313,69ISENTO---

    De R$ 1.313,70 at R$ 2.625,1215%$197.05

    Acima de R$ 2.625,1227.50%$525.19

    REGRESSIVA

    Tempo de AcumulaoAlquota

    0 - 2 anos35%

    2 - 4 anos30%

    4 - 6 anos25%

    6 - 8 anos20%

    8 - 10 anos15%

    Acima de 10 anos10%

    Plan2

    Plan3

  • FAIXA SALARIAL PERCENTUAL CONTRIBUIO At R$ 1.425,00 3 % R$ 42,75 De R$ 1.425,00 a R$ 2.850,00 (R$ 1.425,00) 4 % R$ 57,00 De R$ 2.850,00 a R$ 4.275,00 (R$ 1.425,00) 10 % R$ 142,50 De R$ 4.275,00 a R$ 4.500,00 (R$ 225,00) 12 % R$ 27,00

    Total das Contribuies 5,98 % R$ 269,25Participante com Salrio de R$ 4.500,00VANTAGEM FISCALFaixa Imposto de Renda 27,5 %Iseno Fiscal R$ 74,04 DesembolsoR$ 195,21 Benefcio estimado aos 55 anos = R$ 2.945,00(35 anos de contribuio com 8% de rentabilidade)As contribuies so dedutveis do IR at o limite de 12% da renda brutaClculo das contribuies

  • Vantagens da empresa

  • Fonte de renda alternativa Previdncia OficialIncentivo Fiscal;As contribuies so dedutveis do IR at o limite de 12% da renda bruta.Poupana Previdenciria individualizada;Os rendimentos so repassados para essa conta.Previdncia CapitalizadaTranqilidade e segurana para a famlia no futuro.Tabela I.R. mais vantajosaVantagens para o participante

  • Previdncia Privada AbertaBancos e Seguradoras(Destinada a todo cidado)

  • Caractersticas dos Planos

    ITEMPGBLVGBLTRADICIONALDeduo FiscalLimitada a 12% sobre a base de rendimentos brutosNo HLimitada a 12% sobre a base de rendimentos brutosBase de incidncia do IRSobre os valores totais do resgate ou da aposentadoriaS sobre a parcela correspondente ao rendimento no resgate ou aposentadoriaSobre os valores totais do resgate ou da aposentadoriaDeclarao do IRFormulrio CompletoFormulrio SimplificadoFormulrio CompletoTipo de PlanoContribuio DefinidaContribuio DefinidaBenefcio Definido

  • 41,03%16,40%12,72%6,76%4,38%4,07%3,87%3,15%1,81%0,26%DemaisEntidades4,64%Fonte: FENAPREVI Dez/07Market Share Previdncia Aberta

  • Fonte: FENAPREVI Dez/07Carteira de Investimentos Concentrao por Tipo de PlanoPerfil Previdncia Aberta (dez/2007)

  • Ttulos Pblicos 15,18%Imvel 2,11%Renda Varivel 7,64%Renda Fixa 75,06%Fonte: SUSEP abril/2.008Previdncia AbertaDistribuio ativos

  • Fundos de Penso(Destinado aos trabalhadores de determinada empresa, aos servidores de determinado RPPF ou ao trabalhador com vnculo profissional, classista ou setorial)Previdncia Privada Fechada

  • Carteira consolidada Fundos de Penso

  • PATRIMNIO TOTAL NO MUNDO DE MAIS DE US$ 13 TRILHESFonte : Watson Wyatt e Pension & Investiments/2006 Em bilhes de US$ 2007Fundos de Penso no Mundo

  • SIDERURGIAValia, PreviPreviPrevi, Sistel, PetrosENERGIAPrevi, SistelFiago ParticipaesTELECOMUNICAESGTDPreviOUTROS SETORESFundos de Penso - Participao

  • ESTATUTORegulamento PREVIOGMOMinistrio da Previdncia SocialRegulamento PREVIDEPARRegulamentoSeguradoraConstrutoraParan BancoHolding......PlanoRegulamentoPlanoASSEMBLIA LEGISLATIVAPlano

    ASSOCIAO

  • Combinar aplicaes em RENDA FIXA E RENDA VARIVEL (Bolsa de Valores)

    BOLSA DE VALORESAtivo de maior retorno nos ltimos anos Em 24 meses: Ibov 92,14%, CDI 28,7%

    Tendncia de alta Projeo de 75 mil pontos para o final de 2008Com o investment grade, o ndice pode atingir 84 mil pontos

    Estabilidade ou Queda dos juros positivo para a bolsaEstratgia de Investimento

  • TAXA NOMINAL = 11,75%

    INFLAO = 5%

    TAXA REAL = 6,4%CONCLUSO

    Quanto menor a SELIC, maior o fluxo de recursos para os fundos de aes.

    Os fundos que aplicarem 100% de seus patrimnios em ttulos, com rendimentos prximos a taxa SELIC, no cumpriro a meta atuarial de 6% a.a.

    Portanto, preciso diversificar os investimentos, alocando parte do patrimnio em renda varivel.Taxa Nominal X Taxa Real

  • 75% RF 25% RV50% RF 50% RVRF25% RF 75% RVIBOV0%Fonte: Fibra Notcias Ano 19, n 142, Mai/Jun/Jul/071200%1600%Comparativo de rentabilidadePerodo 31/12/1998 a 19/05/2008Diversificao

    Grf1

    00000

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